Health & MedicalActive
Will Type 2 Diabetes claims exceed $50M in Q3 2026?
Portfolio from Aetna containing 10,000 policies with pre-existing T2D conditions across 15 states.
Total Volume
$2.4M
Liquidity
$840K
Expires
Sep 30, 2026
Traders
1,247
Price History
Portfolio Details
Description
This market represents a reinsurance portfolio from Aetna covering 10,000 individual health insurance policies for patients with pre-existing Type 2 Diabetes conditions. The market resolves to YES if total claims exceed $50M by Sep 30, 2026.
Key Risk Factors
Policy Holders
10,000
Avg Age
58 years
Avg Premium
$8,400/yr
Geographic Spread
15 States
Historical Claims Data
Dashed line indicates the $50M threshold.
Resolution Criteria
Yes Resolution: Total claims exceed $50,000,000 by Sep 30, 2026 11:59 PM EST.
No Resolution: Total claims remain at or below $50,000,000 by the deadline.
Reinsurer Information
Aetna (CVS Health)
Rating: A+ (S&P) • Founded 1853
Portfolio Manager: Sarah Chen
Order Book
59¢
8,420
58¢
5,230
57¢
3,180
42¢
6,890
41¢
4,520
40¢
9,340